s difficult to have a big move on the Diaoyu Islands in China-Japan r

fienglzz3nl7 · 29 de Agosto 2013

subjected to more pressure.

Key words there will be no big moves Diaoyu busy with Chinese cruise Herald reporter: in 2012, because the Japanese government insisted on the implementation of the Diaoyu Islands "nationalization", resulting in Sino-Japanese relations between the two countries established diplomatic relations 40 years down to the lowest point.

Key words should be the year of Sino-Japanese relations thaw,

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, detente Herald reporter year: 2013 Sino-Japanese relations in general will show what kind of state do

Publication of "American and Sino-Japanese relations evolve", "" big country "Japan and Sino-Japanese relations" and other monographs and more than textbooks in Chinese academic journal "Japanese Studies", "Contemporary International Relations," "Taiwan Research Quarterly"

's political, economic, diplomatic will show what kind of situation

Downturn in the world economy, the United States, Europe, weak market backdrop, China's huge market for Japanese companies is very important.

In 1998 he was appointed lecturer Kokushikan Japan, the Japan International Political Science Association Member, Chairman of Shanghai International Studies Foreign Policy Research Institute researcher, deputy director of the Asia-Pacific Research Center.

July was a watershed, before that, there will be no big Abe government action, but at the political level between the two countries should still maintain a certain degree of communication and contacts.

Lian De Rose: Now is the history of Sino-Japanese relations have been the lowest point, and if the Abe administration wise and pragmatic, then 2013 should be the Sino-Japanese relations thaw,

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, easing of the year.

From the current situation in perspective, the election is conducive to the LDP, the Liberal Democratic Party in July Senate elections are likely to win.

Sino-Japanese relations are now falling into the freezing point, not only "cold politics" and that "the cold", Sino-Japanese trade decreased significantly,

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, the Japanese economy caused no small damage, the Democratic Party to step down the most important reason is the economy did not improve.

Sino-Japanese relations have since Junichiro Koizumi's visits to Yasukuni Shrine and deteriorated sharply, and now the Sino-Japanese relations have been very bad if Abe as prime minister to visit the shrine again, no doubt, "fuel", but also make China questioned Abe improving

Key words Councils LDP "dominant" Abe "ass" sit steady Herald reporter: Japanese politics has been in turmoil, it is nearly seven years as Prime Minister for a 7, 2013, Japanese politics will show what kind of situation

Related Policy Act, and not subject to the constraints of the opposition.

Abe came to power again in terms of economic policy is made "monetary easing," the old ways, nothing more than the central bank to print more money, forcing weaker yen 8 to stimulate Japanese exports, and thus enhance the Japanese economy.

Third, the Japanese government should afford.

make a difference.

Abe should be very clear that Japan's economic development is inseparable from China to improve Sino-Japanese relations is Japan's mainstream wishes, except in a very few very hardline elements, most of the political and economic circles and the general public all want Abe able to improve Sino-Japanese relations

Abe, the Japanese public is hoped that the Government can improve Sino-Japanese relations, if you have eased Sino-Japanese relations since Abe's new action on the Diaoyu Islands, once again, "ice", is clearly detrimental to the LDP, but also let Abe took office just

Abe's Liberal Democratic Party leadership is now fully prepare for the July Senate election for the Liberal Democratic Party has the right to regain the ruling, if it can win more than half of the Senate seats in the next few years the ruling Liberal Democratic Party will lay a solid foundation

Key words economic Humpty recovery hopeless Sino-Japanese trade to pick up the Herald reporter: the past 20 years, the Japanese economy has been hovering at the bottom, in the third quarter, gross domestic product (GDP) or even negative growth.

Japan's national debt now exceeds GDP200%, debt in the developed countries with the highest percentage of GDP.

Abe took office,

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, has made it clear that he would not visit the Yasukuni Shrine in the spring of this year, this is generally considered Abe to China goodwill of a move.

Sino-Japanese relations are warming, or continue to "ice"

Japanese relations sincerity.

Yesterday, experts on Japan,

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,

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I personally think that the Japanese economy has been improvement in the short term in order to rely on the Sino-Japanese trade.

Now, the Chinese and Japanese governments on the issue of the Diaoyu Islands in general are relatively restrained: Chinese school official boat, maritime surveillance aircraft to the Diaoyu Islands cruise, but did not send landing; Japan Maritime Self Defense Force to deal with China did not send official

"Northeast Asia Forum" and the Japanese academic journal "Military History", "Annual Japanese modern history", "Asia in the 21st century" and published academic papers.

In addition, if Abe visited the Yasukuni Shrine, it would have caused the South Korean government and the public outcry, continue to work with China and South Korea two important neighbors "hostility," Abe is obviously not desirable.

After July, if the Liberal Democratic Party won the election in the Senate, the Abe administration can boldly take some measures to improve Sino-Japanese relations, so in the second half of the Sino-Japanese political relations have improved the space is relatively large.

In this case, the Japanese government may be more for the Coast Guard official with boats and airplanes.

Once the House and Senate are controlled by the LDP, along with the LDP's traditional rival Democrat "cripple" in the House of Representatives last month's election defeat, the short term is difficult to contend with,

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From the current trend, in 2013, Japan on the Diaoyu Islands issue is most likely to do, it can be said that has done the most things should be is busy with China on Diaoyu Island and its surrounding waters, airspace cruise.

Liberal Democratic Party came to power again, in order to develop the economy, it is necessary to improve Sino-Japanese relations,

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struggle,

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China is Japan's largest exporter, if the Sino-Japanese trade continued hovering at the bottom, and even continued to deteriorate, the Japanese economy would revive in the short term,

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From the current situation, as long as the Japanese government on the Diaoyu Islands issue is not new initiatives, the Sino-Japanese economic and trade will pick up slowly in 2013.

Lian De Rose: I personally think is unlikely.

Lian De Rose: If no big surprises in 2013 in Japan's political arena would be more stable, Shinzo Abe, Prime Minister when the full year should be no problem.

2013, Japan's economy will recover, or continue to sink

boat to the island of civil servants stationed saying no timetable; bilateral official ship and aircraft in the Diaoyu Islands waters, airspace and no outbreak of confrontation.

Late last year,

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Lian De Rose: 2013 Japan's economic recovery is unlikely, basically still hovering at the bottom.

This economic policy, "temporary solution", there is no fundamental right under the heavy medication Japanese economy, it is difficult to reverse the decline of the Japanese economy.

Foreign ministries of both sides should still maintain communication, at least informal contacts and consultations is conceivable.

The face of economic stagnation, the Japanese government continue to use massive stimulus measures, but the economy has been in the doldrums, but is increasingly heavy government debt.

2013, right-wing ruling Shinzo Abe, the Japanese government will take on the Diaoyu Islands issue what kind of initiatives do

it

Experts cards Morality Rose, in 1995 a master's degree in political science at Waseda University, Waseda University in 2003 by a doctorate in literature.

Of course,

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